2016 Baseball Forecaster and Encylopedia of Fanalytics (30th by Ron Shandler

By Ron Shandler

For 30 years, some of the best in baseball prediction and data

The industry's longest-running book for baseball analysts and fable leaguers, the 2016 Baseball Forecaster, released each year because 1986, is the 1st e-book to method prognostication through breaking functionality down into its part components. instead of predicting batting normal, for example, this source seems on the components of ability that make up any given batter's skill to differentiate among balls and moves, his propensity to make touch with the ball, and what occurs whilst he makes contact—reverse engineering these talents again into batting general. the result's an exceptional forecast of baseball talents and traits for the approaching season and past.

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Additional info for 2016 Baseball Forecaster and Encylopedia of Fanalytics (30th Anniversary Edition)

Example text

From 1990-2004, there were 280 twenty-save seasons in Double-A and Triple-A, accomplished by 254 pitchers. Of those 254, only 46 ever made it to the majors at all. Of those 46, only 13 ever saved 20 games in a season.

Because 70%+ of line drives fall for hits, and 10%+ of fly balls become home runs, this spells trouble for aging pitchers. Home runs per fly ball (hr/f): As each year passes, a higher percentage of a pitcher’s fly balls become home runs allowed increases with age. A breakout performance is defined here as one where a player posts a Rotisserie value of $20 or higher after having never acheieved $10 previously. These criteria are primarily used to validate an apparent breakout in the current season but may also be used carefully to project a potential breakout for an upcoming season.

00, then the manager is using them, but not showing nearly as much confidence that they can win games. Saves chances and wins (Patrick Davitt) Some fantasy owners think that good teams get more saves because they generate more wins. Other owners think that poor teams get more saves because more of their wins are by narrow margins. The “good-team” side is probably on firmer ground, though there are enough exceptions that we should be cautious about drawing broad inferences. The 2014 study confirmed what Craig Neuman found years earlier: The argument “more wins leads to more saves” is generally correct.

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